This study examines profits and speculation in the USD/EUR trading of a bank in Germanyover a four-month period. Dealing activity at the bank generates profits but speculation doesnot seem to contribute to this. We find that speculative positions fail to become profitablewithin a 30-minutes'...

What is the role of large playersʺ like hedge funds and other highly leveraged institutions in speculative attacks? In recent theoretical work, large players may induce an attack by an early move, providing information to smaller agents. In contrast, many observers argue that large players are...

Electronic trading has transformed foreign exchange markets over the past decade, and the pace of innovation only accelerates. This formerly opaque market is now fairly transparent and transaction costs are only a fraction of their former level. Entirely new agents have joined the fray,...

We document that intraday currency returns display systematic reversals around the major benchmark fixings, characterized by an appreciation of the U.S. dollar pre-fix and a depreciation post-fix. We propose an explanation based on constrained intermediation by foreign exchange dealers....

The retail foreign exchange (forex) market is one which is only just starting to become a focus of research. Importantly, while it shares similarities and linkages to the more well-known institutional spot forex market, there are some key differences. These variations allow for a more...

This paper studies the sensitivity of Canadian producer prices to the Canada-U.S. exchange rate. Using a unique product-level price data set, we estimate and analyze the impact of movements in the exchange rate on both domestic and export producer prices. First, we find that both domestic and...

For a foreign exchange settlement network we construct profit attributions and relate them to centrality. Our sample (from CLS Bank) spans diverse currency pairs, participants, and execution platforms. For each settlement we define the average centrality differential as the return to the...

Recent econometric studies only emphasize the role of longterm demand expectations and technological capability. They neglect the impact of buyer market structure on innovative efforts of input suppliers....

What is the role of large players" like hedge funds and other highly leveraged institutions in speculative attacks? In recent theoretical work, large players may induce an attack by an early move, providing information to smaller agents. In contrast, many observers argue that large players are...

This paper analyses how exchange rate shocks are transmitted at the firm level and establishes a nexus to firm-level export activity. Using precise survey data from a sample of Swiss firms, I find that an appreciation increases the probability of a decrease in firm-level costs, prices and...