Economic theory predicts that intertemporal decisions depend critically on expectations about future outcomes. Using the universe of professional survey forecasts for the United States, we document the behavior of the entire term structure of expectations for output growth, inflation, and the...

In light of the huge cross-country differences in job losses during the recent crisis, we study how labor market duality - meaning the coexistence of "temporary" contracts with low firing costs and "permanent" contracts with high firing costs - affects labor market volatility. In a model of job...

The study examines the impact of wage subsidies on assisted jobseekers and on the firms that employ them, using propensity matching methods. Overall we find that starting a subsidised job leads to significant employment and earning benefits for assisted jobseekers over several years. Subsidised...

Abstract German (English abstract is added below) Arbeitslosigkeit gilt als eines der schwerwiegendsten gesellschaftlichen Probleme unserer Zeit. Doch welche Gründe liegen, trotz der über die Jahre eingeleiteten Maßnahmen zur Bekämpfung der Arbeitslosigkeit, für die anhaltende...

Primero enseñaremos que la (nueva) curva de Phillips diseñada por la escuela del «Nuevo Keynesianismo» se puede transformar fácilmente en una curva de Phillips «clásica». Teniendo en cuenta el «mismatch» en los mercados laborales, como lo describe la curva de Beveridge y combinando...

Primero enseñaremos que la (nueva) curva de Phillips diseñada por la escuela del «Nuevo Keynesianismo» se puede transformar fácilmente en una curva de Phillips «clásica». Teniendo en cuenta el «mismatch» en los mercados laborales, como lo describe la curva de Beveridge y combinando...

This paper studies how minimum wages affect the wage distribution if firms face financial constraints. Using German employer-employee data and firm balance sheets, we document that the within-firm wage dispersion decreases more with higher minimum wages when firms are financially constrained. We...

In this study we develop and calibrate a search and matching model of the German labour market and analyze the impact of recent immigration. Our model has two production sectors (manufacturing and services), two skill groups and two ethnic groups of workers (natives and immigrants). Moreover, we...

In this study we investigate the link between the job search channels that workers use to find employment and the probability of occupational mismatch in the new job. Our specific focus in on differences beween native and immigrant workers. We use data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP)...

In this study we investigate the link between the job search channels that workers use to find employment and the probability of occupational mismatch in the new job. Our specific focus is on differences between native and immigrant workers. We use data from the German Socio-Economic Panel...