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What determines exporters' exchange rate hedging decisions and do exporters attempt to “time the market”? We use a unique unit record longitudinal administrative dataset on firm exports to find the determinants of exporters' currency hedging choices. Determinants include financial fragility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061266
The popular scholarly exercise of evaluating exchange rate forecasting models relative to a random walk was stimulated by the well-cited Meese and Rogoff (1983) paper. Practitioners who construct quantitative models for trading exchange rates approach forecasting from a different perspective....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743826
The contribution of this paper is twofold. First, we exploit copula methodology, with two threshold GARCH models as marginals, to construct a bivariate copula threshold GARCH model, simultaneously capturing asymmetric nonlinear behaviour in univariate stock returns of spot and futures markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159444
Diversification has been long considered an essential part of investing for the long term. Our paper aims to look further on portfolio diversification and how asset allocation can be optimized. We suggest that the selection of investments in a portfolio should be based on how the market behaves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906959
We solve a multi-period portfolio optimization problem using D-Wave Systems' quantum annealer. We derive a formulation of the problem, discuss several possible integer encoding schemes, and present numerical examples that show high success rates. The formulation incorporates transaction costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971155
Allocation between factor portfolios can bring significant advantages over traditional portfolio optimization performed among individual assets or asset classes. One such advantage is a substantial dimension reduction when one's attention turns from many assets to few factors. This, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973146
For large portfolio managers, a sequence of single-period optimal positions is rarely multi-period optimal. In particular, transaction costs can prevent large portfolio managers from monetizing most of their forecasting power. The solution is to compute the trading trajectory that comes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003321
of asset classes is critical, which, for the time being, remains an art rather than a formulaic exercise based on theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008534
In this article we include discrete dividends in the stock price model and solve a generalized portfolio optimization problem. For this, we develop a new discrete dividend model that allows for the possibility of early announcement and ensures that the drop of the stock price at the ex-dividend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928171
Portfolio optimization approaches inevitably rely on multivariate modeling of markets and the economy. In this paper, we address three sources of error related to the modeling of these complex systems: 1.oversimplifying hypothesis; 2. uncertainties resulting from parameters' sampling error; 3....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232396