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Recent experience with interest rates hitting the effective lower bound and agents facing binding borrowing constraints has emphasised the importance of understanding the behaviour of an economy in which some variables may be restricted at times. The extended path algorithm is a commonly used...
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Although the practicability of using wavelet neural networks (WNNs) in nonlinear function approximation has been addressed extensively, selecting the optimal number of hidden nodes and their appropriate initial locations remains a great challenge for WNNs' initialization. The cuckoo search...
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The present paper presents a theoretical extension of our earlier work entitled“A comparative study of two models SV with MCMC algorithm” cited, Rev Quant Finan Acc (2012) 38:479-493 DOI 10.1007/s11156-011-0236-1 where we propose initially a mixture stochastic volatility model providing a...
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We consider the basic problem of refi tting a time series over a finite period of time and formulate it as a stochastic … decision process. By recursively applying this idea over a range of future time periods, look-ahead dynamic programming methods … techniques give rise to models calibrated to historical data which at any point in time would be optimally positioned to react to …
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Combinations of point forecasts from expert forecasters are known to frequently outperform individual forecasts. It is also well documented that combination by simple averaging very often has performance superior to that of more sophisticated combinations. This empirical fact is referred to as...
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