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Empirical evidence suggests that asset returns correlate more strongly in bear markets than conventional correlation estimates imply. We propose a method for determining complete tail-correlation matrices based on Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimates. We demonstrate how to obtain more effi cient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191900
This paper examines how volatility positions can be optimally constructed by modeling the selection process as a linear … parameters to be applied in the optimization process for robust position risk management. We use implied volatility decreases …) events to construct a linear system where feasible solutions represent an investor’s optimal volatility position. Significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236189
Several exchanges in futures and options deploy pro-rata matching. The executed size of limit orders in pro-rata markets is never certain, unlike in price-time priority matching systems. This article derives the optimal size of limit orders in pro-rata markets given the trader's desired...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061277
Following Levy and Roll [2010], we posit that the market portfolio is the efficient tangent Markowitz portfolio, i.e., it is mean-variance efficient. We then reverse engineer the expected returns and variance terms with constraints imposed by empirical data on a hierarchy of asset baskets. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009611
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In this article we include discrete dividends in the stock price model and solve a generalized portfolio optimization problem. For this, we develop a new discrete dividend model that allows for the possibility of early announcement and ensures that the drop of the stock price at the ex-dividend...
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network without compromising prediction accuracy. We evaluate its performance by predicting the daily volatility and closing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268745