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We consider the basic problem of refi tting a time series over a finite period of time and formulate it as a stochastic dynamic program. By changing the underlying Markov decision process we are able to obtain a model that at optimality considers historical data as well as forecasts of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894079
The Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS) provides valuable information for the monetary policy and financial stability purposes. The dataset shows, however, inconsistencies with National Account (NtlA) statistics, as the aggregated HFCS micro data do usually not match the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482886
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961709
In this paper we examine feed-forward neural networks using genetic algorithms in the training process instead of error backpropagation algorithm. Additionally real encoding is preferred to binary encoding as it is more appropriate to find the optimum weights. We use learning and momentum rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138757
We propose an optimal architecture for deep neural networks of given size. The optimal architecture obtains from maximizing the minimum number of linear regions approximated by a deep neural network with a ReLu activation function. The accuracy of the approximation function relies on the neural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836628
Calibration of financial models can have more than one local minima present, requiring the use of global optimization techniques to properly calibrate them. In general, calibrating with a global optimizer will be a slow operation. An artificial neural network, properly trained, can replicate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952910
We propose a new method for solving high-dimensional dynamic programming problems and recursive competitive equilibria with a large (but finite) number of heterogeneous agents using deep learning. The "curse of dimensionality" is avoided due to four complementary techniques: (1) exploiting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012581353
We present a new interactive procedure for evolutionary multiobjective optimization involving the decision rule preference model in the search for the best compromise solution. As usual in the interactive multiobjective optimization, preference elicitation phases alternate with optimization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238337
This paper proposes a novel method of global optimization based on host-parasite co-evolution. It also develops a Fortran-77 code for the algorithm. The algorithm has been tested on 100 benchmark functions (of which the results of 32 relatively harder problems have been reported). In its search...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014152540
This note is intended to demonstrate that median (a well-known measure of central tendency) is a weighted arithmetic mean of all sample observations and such (non-trivial) weights may be computed by an optimization method such as the host-parasite co-evolutionary algorithm
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014037959