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Global and Asset Class Diversified ETF Portfolio Strategy - A Convex Mean/CVaR Optimization Approach using Dynamic Copulas with Flexible Probabilities
Mantesso F, Flavio; Ahmed, Joe; Flores, Mauro - 2023
One of the most important factors to control for the achievements of investment portfolio returns is risk. If we only think that a 100% positive return is needed to recover a portfolio loss of 50%, we can understand why. With the advent of the exponential growth of technology usage in markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254526
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Crude Oil Hedging Strategies Using Dynamic Multivariate GARCH
Tansuchat, Roengchai - 2010
The paper examines the performance of four multivariate volatility models, namely CCC, VARMA-GARCH, DCC and BEKK, for … the optimal portfolio weights of all multivariate volatility models for Brent suggest holding futures in larger … volatility model give the time-varying hedge ratios, and recommend to short in crude oil futures with a high proportion of one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149486
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Estimating Dynamic Conditional Spread Densities to Optimise Daily Storage Trading of Electricity
Abramova, Ekaterina; Bunn, Derek W. - 2019
This paper formulates dynamic density functions, based upon skewed-t and similar representations, to model and forecast electricity price spreads between different hours of the day. This supports an optimal day ahead storage and discharge schedule, and thereby facilitates a bidding strategy for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014107616
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Assessing multivariate predictors of financial market movements : a latent factor framework for ordinal data
Huber, Philippe; Scaillet, Olivier; Victoria-Feser, … - 2008
Much of the trading activity in Equity markets is directed to brokerage houses. In exchange they provide so-called quot;soft dollarsquot; which basically are amounts spent in quot;researchquot; for identifying profitable trading opportunities. Soft dollars represent about USD 1 out of every USD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966616
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Lasso-type and heuristic strategies in model selection and forecasting
Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - 2012
Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to apply a regularization strategy and solve the model selection task as a continuous optimization problem. One of the most popular approaches in this research field is given by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630302
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On Models for Portfolio Selection with Short-Term Forecasting
Dokuchaev, Nikolai - 2013
We discuss the problems of strategy selection in the framework of mathematical finance, stochastic control, and risk management in finance and economics. A problem setting that takes in to account a possibility of short term forecasting for market parameters is suggested. In this setting,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090290
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Portfolio allocation for European markets with predictability and parameter uncertainty
Jondeau, Eric; Rockinger, Michael - 2010
We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797745
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Crude oil hedging strategies using dynamic multivariate GARCH
Roengchai Tansuchat; Chang, Chia-Lin; McAleer, Michael - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008669351
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Crude oil hedging strategies using dynamic multivariate GARCH
Roengchai Tansuchat; Chang, Chia-Lin; McAleer, Michael - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003987324
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Asset-liability management for pension funds in a time-varying volatility environment
Vrontos, Spyridon D.; Vrontos, Ioannis D.; … - In: The journal of asset management 14 (2013) 5, pp. 306-333
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237937