Showing 1 - 10 of 2,138
What matters to economic decision-making is whether the economy has become more or less predictable. People and businesses use information around them to form judgements about what might happen in the future. The rise in uncertainty might be associated with increased concern about extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866688
measure based on decreasing absolute risk aversion utility function. I derive necessary and suffi cient conditions for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014039652
We measure risk preferences for decisions that involve more than a single monetary attribute. According to theory, the … multivariate risk preferences correlation aversion, cross-prudence (coskewness preference) and cross-temperance (cokurtosis … aversion) determine how univariate risk preferences over attributes co-vary and interact. We obtain model-free measurements of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004097
the same for risk and ambiguity, as assumed by prospect theory, and sign‐comonotonic trade‐off consistency, the central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007231
The concept of “overconfidence” is one of the great success stories of psychological research, influencing discourse in the popular press, business, and public policy. Relative to underconfidence, overconfidence at various tasks is purportedly associated with greater narcissism, lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344292
We extend the definition of a convex risk measure to a conditional framework where additional information is available …. We characterize these risk measures through the associated acceptance sets and prove a representation result in terms of … conditional expectations. As an example we consider the class of conditional entropic risk measures. A new regularity property of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003035916
This paper investigates how welfare losses for facing risks change as a function of the number of risk exposures. To … that aim, we define the risk apportionment of order n (RA-n) utility premium as a measure of pain associated with facing … the passage from one risk to a riskier one. Changes in risks are expressed through the specific concept of stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626244
This paper demonstrates that well-established biases in decision making under uncertainty can generate poverty traps. A theoretical framework is developed to demonstrate that: i) probability weighting and ambiguity attitude can lead individuals to erroneously undervalue profitable investments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015062969
riskiness to continuous random variables. For many continuous random variables, the risk measure is equal to the worst-case risk … measure, i.e. the maximal possible loss incurred by that gamble. We also extend the Foster-Hart risk measure to dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342818
This paper explores three aspects of strategic uncertainty: its relation to risk, predictability of behavior and … and one lottery. Behavior in coordination games is related to risk aversion, experience seeking, gender, and age. From the … behavior is close to the global-game solution. Comparing choices in coordination games with revealed risk aversion, we estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361993