This paper addresses the issue of measuring the NAIRU for the euro area and assessing the robustness and precision of the obtained estimates. The empirical framework adopted is based on systems combining an Okun-type relationship between cyclical unemployment and the output gap with a Phillips...

We study the differences of currency misalignment estimates obtained from alternative datasets derived from two International Comparison Program (ICP) surveys. A decomposition exercise reveals that the year 2005 misalignment estimates are substantially affected by the ICP price revision....

We develop a methodology to construct real effective exchange rates that incorporate two distinctive elements not accounted for in the traditional measures: i) competition in third markets and ii) adjustments for similarity in export baskets between exporters and their competitors. In addition...

Spanish Abstract: Este trabajo compara diferentes medidas del tipo de cambio real (TCR) para México. La primera parte presenta una descripción de cinco diferentes medidas del TCR, con énfasis en las ventajas y desventajas teóricas de cada una de ellas. La segunda parte presenta una...

We assess the properties of currency value strategies based on real exchange rates in a cross-sectional portfolio setting. We find that real exchange rates predict currency excess returns, but in a way that is inconsistent with the notion of currency value because a high valuation level...

Different causal mechanisms have been proposed to link commodity prices and exchange rates, with opposing implications. We examine these causal relationships empirically, using data on three commodities (crude oil, gold, copper) and four countries (Canada, Australia, Norway, Chile), over the...

We assess the properties of currency value strategies based on real exchange rates in a cross-sectional portfolio setting. We find that real exchange rates predict currency excess returns, but in a way that is inconsistent with the notion of currency value because a high valuation level...

The persistence properties of economic time series has been a primary object of investigation in a variety of guises since the early days of econometrics. This paper suggests investigating the persistence of processes conditioning on their history. In particular we suggest that examining the...

The 2014 release of a new set of purchasing power parity conversion factors (PPPs) for 2011 has prompted a revision of the international poverty line. In order to preserve the integrity of the goalposts for international targets such as the Sustainable Development Goals and the World Bank's twin...