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We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' expectations of risk. The measure is broadly … simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's expected future cash flows and risk profile. We empirically implement the … forecasting power for firms' risk profiles, costs of capital, and future investments. We further highlight pitfalls of using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236639
Nancy Cartwright views models as blueprints for nomological machines - machines which, if properly shielded, generate lawlike behaviour or regularities. Marcel Boumans has argued that we can look for devices inside models which enable us to measure aspects of these regularities. So, if models do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325381
ToTEM - the Bank of Canada's principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy - is extended to include inventories. In the model, firms accumulate inventories of finished goods for their role in facilitating the demand for goods. The model is successful in matching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289671
Nancy Cartwright views models as blueprints for nomological machines - machines which, if properly shielded, generate lawlike behaviour or regularities. Marcel Boumans has argued that we can look for devices inside models which enable us to measure aspects of these regularities. So, if models do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011337991
While the development of scientific theories and measurement concepts has always been strongly intertwined, model-based measurements, specified as parameters in a statistical model, have been receiving increasing attention over the last decades. In this paper, we analyze the ontological and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779629
than absolute) change in taxes. Second, the respondents should be given the option to answer based on information about the … positions of large parties and interest groups with known political orientation rather than based on the raw policy information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315552
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000045341
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003518841