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provides support for the noise-trading theory and the limits-to-arbitrage argument, as well as predictions from limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012125620
We show that the Truncated Realized Variance (TRV) of a semimartingale asset price converges to zero when observations are contaminated by microstructure noises. Under the additive iid noise assumption, a central limit theorem is also proved. In consequence it is possible to construct a feasible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113504
When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on realised or bipower variation are applied. This article instead starts from a continuous time diffusion model and derives a parametric analog at high frequency for it, allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374428
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011947775
As we noted in Grover and Kizer [2016], the proliferation of style (or factor) investing has created a more complicated landscape for investors. It can be difficult for investors and their advisors to understand what style exposures a particular fund or strategy provides, whether the net expense...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954474
We confirm the effectiveness of using cyclically-adjusted valuation metrics to identify high performing stocks. The Shiller P/E, or cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio, is not the optimal way to implement a cyclically-adjusted value measure. At the margin, the cyclically-adjusted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075708
We develop and implement a new measure of information asymmetry among traders. Our measure is based on the intuition that informed traders are more likely than uninformed traders to generate abnormal volume in options or stock markets. We formalize this intuition theoretically and compute the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938626
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' expectations of risk. The measure is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive it from an option-pricing model, where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236639
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303903
We propose an alternative Ratio Statistic for measuring predictability of stock prices. Our statistic is based on actual returns rather than logarithmic returns and is therefore better suited to capturing price predictability. It captures not only linear dependence in the same way as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010481079