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In a quantitative model with uncertain inputs, the uncertainty of the output can be summarized by a risk measure. We propose a sensitivity analysis method based on derivatives of the output risk measure, in the direction of model inputs. This produces a global sensitivity measure, explicitly...
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We consider the problem where a modeller conducts sensitivity analysis of a model consisting of random input factors, a corresponding random output of interest, and a baseline probability measure. The modeller seeks to understand how the model (the distribution of the input factors as well as...
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In this research, the concept of Duration with a new application in project management has been defined. The Duration of each project provides the project manager with a combined measure containing concepts of return, cost and time of the project. Further in this article, the changes in project...
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Diese Dissertation besteht aus drei Aufsätzen, welche Themen aus dem Bereich Risiko-Beurteilung und Risiko-Management behandeln. Der erste Aufsatz in Kapitel 1 analysiert die Risikodynamik von Hedge Funds, indem neue Faktoren zur Risikobeurteilung eingeführt werden. Der zweite Aufsatz in...
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