This paper examines the factors influencing Mexico''s private saving rate. Cross-country analysis finds that Mexico''s private saving is somewhat higher than could be explained by its fundamentals, but lower than in the average country in the sample. This analysis suggests that Mexico''s greater...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. GROWTH, SAVING, AND INVESTMENT IN AN EMERGING MARKET ECONOMY -- III. THE MEASUREMENT OF PRIVATE SAVING -- IV. CROSS-COUNTRY EVIDENCE -- V. TIME-SERIES EVIDENCE FOR MEXICO -- VI. MEXICO'S SAVING: WHICH WAY DOES THE CAUSALITY GO? -- VII. CONCLUSIONS --...

Output gap estimates are subject to a wide range of uncertainty owing to data revisions and the difficulty in distinguishing between cycle and trend in real time. This is important given the central role in monetary policy of assessments of economic activity relative to capacity. We show that...