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wide application of these methods as a "credibility revolution" in econometrics that has finally provided persuasive … crisis in econometrics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602961
This scoping paper aims to present a summary of the past and present macroeconometric models of the Philippine economy. This paper looks at the various approaches and methodology used in modelling the economy. The various approaches were compared and contrasted in order to find the best possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994053
-proof approach as much as possible, and emphasizes the practical application of econometrics. They show with examples how to … find the book useful. “How to best start learning time series econometrics? Learning by doing. This is the ethos of this …, no-nonsense, practical approach that students will love when they start learning time series econometrics. I recommend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014443465
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399615
We study 30 vintages of FRB/US, the principal macro model used by the Federal Reserve Board staff for forecasting and policy analysis. To do this, we exploit archives of the model code, coefficients, baseline databases and stochastic shock sets stored after each FOMC meeting from the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604656
This paper proposes a procedure to investigate the nature and persistence of the forces governing the yield curve and to use the extracted information for forecasting purposes. The latent factors of a model of the Nelson-Siegel type are directly linked to the maturity of the yields through the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604963
We review and construct consistent in-sample specification and out-of-sample model selection tests on conditional distributions and predictive densities associated with continuous multifactor (possibly with jumps) and (non)linear discrete models of the short term interest rate. The results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282832
We compare Bayesian and sample theory model specification criteria. For the Bayesian criteria we use the deviance information criterion and the cumulative density of the mean squared errors of forecast. For the sample theory criterion we use the conditional Kolmogorov test. We use Markov chain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282872
We develop a new approach to identify model misspecifications based on Minimum Discrepancy (MD) projections that correct asset pricing models with the use of nonlinear functions of basis assets returns. These nonlinear corrections make our method more effective than the Hansen and Jagannathan...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128539
We study 30 vintages of FRB/US, the principal macro model used by the Federal Reserve Board staff for forecasting and policy analysis. To do this, we exploit archives of the model code, coefficients, baseline databases and stochastic shock sets stored after each FOMC meeting from the model's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783775