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We propose an alternative approach to the modeling of the positive dependence between the probability of default and the loss given default in a portfolio of exposures, using a bivariate urn process. The model combines the power of Bayesian nonparametrics and statistical learning, allowing for...
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In this study, we consider the construction of through-the-cycle ("TTC") PD models designed for credit underwriting … uses and point-in-time ("PIT") PD models suitable for early warning uses, considering which validation elements should be … emphasized in each case. We build PD models using a long history of large corporate firms sourced from Moody's, with a large …
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