This paper investigates the existence of spillovers from the housing sector onto consumption and the interest rate for South Africa using a time-varying vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model with stochastic volatility. In this regard, we estimate a three-variable TVP-VAR model comprising of real...

This paper investigates the existence of spillovers from stock prices onto consumption and the interest rate for South Africa using a time-varying vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model with stochastic volatility. In this regard, we estimate a three-variable TVP-VAR model comprising of real...

The article "The Time Series Properties of the Real Exchange Rates Between the Member States of the European Monetary Union" analyses the time series behavior of the components of the real exchange rates between the founding member states of the EMU before and after the start of the EMU. Various...

This paper provides estimates of the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices for nine central and eastern European EU Member States. Using a five-variate cointegrated VAR (vector autoregression) for each country and impulse responses derived from the VECM (vector error correction...

This paper analyses the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate pass-through to prices comparing the results from a Semi-structural Model, VAR models, nonlinear regressions and the Kalman Filter. This paper also discusses the relation between a set of macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange...

Using monthly data from January 2000 to October 2007, the present working paper analyses the degree of exchange rate pass through into inflation in the case of Romania. The econometrical method used is the recursive VAR that suggested a low level of the influence of the exchange rate on...

Several recent studies imply that the response of national saving to fiscal policy is non-monotonic. In this paper, we use two data sets to search for the circumstances in which such non-monotonic responses arise: one refers to a sample of OECD countries, as in previous studies, and one to a...

Most theoretical analysis of flexible vs. fixed exchange rates take the degree of nominal rigidity to be independent of the exchange rate regime choice itself. But informal policy discussion often suggests that a credible exchange rate peg may increase internal price flexibility. This paper...