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We assess the forecasting performance of the nowcasting model developed at the New York FED. We show that the observation regarding a striking difference in the model's predictive ability across business cycle phases made earlier in the literature also applies here. During expansions, the...
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A nascent recovery is underway in Thailand following the COVID-19 downturn. Ample policy buffers, underpinned by judicious management of public finances, allowed the authorities to implement a multipronged package of fiscal, monetary, and financial policies to mitigate the COVID-19 impact on...
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This paper uses monthly data from April 2005 to August 2013 for Taiwan to propose a novel tourism indicator, namely the … Tourism Conditions Index (TCI). TCI accounts for the spillover weights based on the Granger causality test and estimates of … the multivariate BEKK model for four TCI indicators to predict specific tourism and economic environmental indicators for …
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that affects tourism business. With respect to tourism, demonetization was a jolt as the policy decision came into force in … emphasizes the reviews of media reports for preparing the statements for the Panel configuring eminent tourism industry … and implications of the return to normalcy of tourism based on the assessment of the developments in the contemporary …
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