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Currencies of countries with persistent current account surpluses and high foreign currency denominated assets such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen are under a persistent appreciation pressure, what restricts the degree of freedom in the choice of exchange rate regime. Official announcements...
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objectives. First, it provides a theory of currency risk premia based on a weak and plausible form of fiscal non …
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I analyze how the tone of central bank press conferences impacts risk premia in the currency market. I measure tone as the difference between the number of hawkish and dovish phrases made during a press conference. I show that central bank tone contemporaneously explains option implied risk...
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objectives. First, it provides a theory of currency risk premia based on a weak and plausible form of fiscal nonneutrality …
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