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Philadelphia surveys have a large marginal impact on the nowcast of both inflation variables and real variables and this effect is …
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structural changes relating to globalization, this paper examines some of the key factors affecting global inflation. The paper … empirically investigates various relative price and structural impacts on global inflation by: estimating a GVAR to examine how … oil price shocks feed through to core and headline inflation; calculating the impact of increased imports from low …
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We extend the work done in our “Redux” paper from Oct 2011 to find a weighted composite U.S coincident economic index (CEI) that includes non-zero weightings from all 50 states and when used in a standard Probit model, produces a perfect correlation (R2 of 1) to NBER recession dating. We...
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