Ma, Yueran; Zimmermann, Kaspar - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We document that monetary policy has a substantial impact on innovation activities. After a tightening shock of 100 …-based aggregate innovation index, declines by up to 9 percent in the following 2 to 4 years. Based on previous estimates of the … sensitivity of output to innovation activities, these magnitudes imply that output could be 1 percent lower after another 5 years …