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The demographic transition can affect the equilibrium real interest rate through three channels. An increase in longevity - or expectations thereof - puts downward pressure on the real interest rate, as agents build up their savings in anticipation of a longer retirement period. A reduction in...
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Japan's aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation … expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan's efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-structural model to estimate the … impact of demographics on the natural rate in Japan. We find that demographic change has a significantly negative impact on …
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Japan's aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation … expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan's efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-structural model to estimate the … impact of demographics on the natural rate in Japan. We find that demographic change has a significantly negative impact on …
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