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Interest rate dynamics are influenced by various economic factors, and central bank meetings play a crucial role concerning this subject matter. This study introduces a novel approach to modeling interest rates, focusing on the impact of central banks' scheduled interventions and their...
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John Maynard Keynes (1930) asserted that the central bank sways the long-term interest rate through the influence of its policy rate on the short-term interest rate. Recent empirical research shows that Keynes's conjecture holds for long-term Treasury yields in the United States. This paper...
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break-even inflation rates when market volatility is high. Our model’s ability to be updated weekly makes it suitable for … real-time monetary policy analysis. -- Affine term structure models ; inflation expectations ; stochastic volatility …
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