We extend the work done in our “Redux” paper from Oct 2011 to find a weighted composite U.S coincident economic index (CEI) that includes non-zero weightings from all 50 states and when used in a standard Probit model, produces a perfect correlation (R2 of 1) to NBER recession dating. We...

The main focus of the present paper is to analyze the impacts of financial policy on inflation rates. The analysis depended on time series data and was divided into theoretical and applied analytical framework. An econometric model was utilized to reflect the relations between financial policy...

This paper examines the causal relationship between financial openness and financial stability in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) from 1993 to 2011. We use two indicators of financial openness: the de jure financial openness and the de facto financial openness. We propose a...

This paper applies data science techniques, specifically natural language processing algorithms, to a corpus comprised of the Bank of England’s MPC minutes. Whilst acknowledging that there is a considerable amount of fuzziness surrounding the use of such techniques, there is some evidence to...