This paper first documents the increase in the time lag with which labor input reacts to the economy's driving structural shocks ("the labor adjustment lag") that is visible in US data since the mid-1980s. We show that lagged labor adjustment is optimal in a setting where there is uncertainty...

We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR) model. We report three main results. First, the decline...

We assess the extent to which the great US macroeconomic stability since the mid-1980s can be accounted for by changes in oil shocks and the oil share in GDP. To do this we estimate a DSGE model with an oil-producing sector before and after 1984 and perform counterfactual simulations. We nest...

We find that deep contractions have highly persistent scarring effects, depressing the level of GDP at least a decade hence. Drawing on a panel of 24 advanced and emerging economies from 1970 to the present, we show that these effects are nonlinear and asymmetric: there is no such persistence...

This paper analyses how labour market heterogeneity affects unemployment, productivity and business cycle dynamics that are relevant for monetary policy. The model matches remarkably well the short and long run dynamics of skilled and unskilled workers. Skill mismatch and skill-specific labour...

This paper studies the conduct of monetary policy in presence of heterogeneous exposure to energy price shocks between the employed and the unemployed, as it is documented by data from the euro area Consumer Expectation Survey. I account for this evidence into a tractable Heterogeneous-Agent New...

This paper studies the effect of monetary policy shocks on different demographic groups in the U.S. labor market. I look at the effect of a contractionary monetary policy shock on unemployment rates of high and low-skill workers, finding that the low-skill group is more sensitive to these shocks...

Labor market indicators such as unemployment rates and labor force participation show a significant amount of heterogeneity across demographic groups, which is often not incorporated in monetary policy analysis. In this paper, I build a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with skill...

We introduce skill decay during unemployment into Blanchard and Gali's (2008) New-Keynesian model with hiring frictions and real-wage rigidity. Plausible values of quarterly skill decay and real-wage rigidity turn the long-run marginal cost-unemployment relationship positive in a "European"...

We introduce skill decay during unemployment into Blanchard and Gali's (2008) New-Keynesian model with hiring frictions and real-wage rigidity. Plausible values of quarterly skill decay and realwage rigidity turn the long-run marginal cost-unemployment relationship positive in a "European"...