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This paper provides an assessment of the macroeconomic models regularly used for forecasting and policy analysis in the …-based analysis for monetary policy preparation and forecasting and provides recommendations and suggestions for improvement. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012627141
This paper applies the semi-structural model proposed by Bernanke and Blanchard (2023) to analyse wage growth, price inflation and inflation expectations in the euro area. It is part of a broader project coordinated by Bernanke and Blanchard to provide a unified framework for analysing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480036
and standard empirical benchmarks. The design is aligned to its role as workhorse model in the context of the forecasting … and policy simulation exercises at the ECB. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012098167
Questo lavoro presenta la stima di un modello econometrico del credito bancario alle imprese in Italia per il periodo 1988-2004. I prestiti bancari sono espressi in funzione del rapporto tra investimenti fissi e margine operativo lordo (che approssima il fabbisogno di finanziamenti esterni),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091013
Note: This is a description of the paper and not the abstract as it appeared in the print journal. We use the transcripts from FOMC meetings over 1984-91 to characterize the interactions between policymakers and builders of macro models in the formulation of U.S. monetary policy. We develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062056
This paper uses the transcripts from the FOMC meetings to characterize the interactions between policymakers and macro models in the formulation of U.S. monetary policy. We develop a taxonomy of these interactions and present two case studies. The first case focuses on the debate on the choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062261
feature the unique characters of China's economy compared with that in the US and the Euro area. The simulation results in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127342
This paper examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on UK regional economic growth and dispersion in a novel Constrained Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive framework. Compared to a standard MFVAR, the model partially accounts for missing quarterly observations for regional growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380981
We infer determinants of Latin American hyperinflations and stabilizations by using the method of maximum likelihood to estimate a hidden Markov model that potentially assigns roles both to fundamentals in the form of government deficits that are financed by money creation and to destabilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003730545
interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews some issues and challenges surrounding the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832138