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We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest … inflation. Third, we perform an out-of-sample forecast to identify where the economy—and therefore policy—was likely headed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242400
for establishing the other building blocks of an inflation targeting framework. It argues that strengthening the … effectiveness of the current monetary policy framework will facilitate the adoption of inflation targeting over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528707
Applying commonly used vector autoregression (VAR) techniques, this paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy on output and prices for Mauritius, using data for 1999-2009. The results show that (i) an unexpected monetary policy tightening-an increase in the Bank of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519482
low long-run inflation objective, operational independence for the People's Bank of China (PBC) with formal strategic … interest rate fluctuations). We argue that anchoring monetary policy with an explicit inflation objective would be the most … reliable way for the PBC to tie down inflation expectations, and thereby enable monetary policy to make the best contribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826023
We develop a DSGE model with a banking sector to analyze the impact of the financial crisis on Zambia and the role of the monetary policy response. We view the crisis as a combination of three related shocks: a worsening in the terms of the trade, an increase in the country’s risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242423
When faced with a relative price shock, monetary authorities often aim to contain its second round effects on inflation … while accepting first round effects. We analyze the experience of South Africa and other inflation targeters to explore … whether and when this policy prescription implies changing the monetary policy stance. Inflation targeting central banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605290
This paper provides an overview of inflation developments in Vietnam in the years following the doi moi reforms, and … uses empirical analysis to answer two key questions: (i) what are the key drivers of inflation in Vietnam, and what role … does monetary policy play? and (ii) why has inflation in Vietnam been persistently higher than in most other emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790430
Inflation targeting (IT) is a relatively new monetary policy framework for low-income countries (LICs). The limited … this gap. It finds that inflation targeting appears to be associated with lower inflation and inflation volatility. At the …, where building credibility of monetary policy is difficult and minimizing output costs of reducing inflation is imperative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370563
This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264080
This paper argues that the implications of globalization for monetary policy come mainly through two channels: On the one hand, the many structural changes that are associated with the globalization process cause an increase in the uncertainty surrounding monetary policy. This includes an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769098