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The authors solve the IS puzzle for the G7 countries. They find that five of the G7 countries have the expected significant negative relationship between the output gap and the real-rate gap; the time series of the remaining two show material deviation from expected IS-curve behavior. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917259
We explore the relationship between inequality, unemployment, and inflation by considering the evidence that low …-and-flow consistent agent-based model by Rolim et al. (2023), in which inflation and inequality result from the social conflict over … income distribution. The inflation-unemployment-inequality nexus leads to the inequality-augmented Phillips curve relating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327420
/tightness and inflation expectations, contributing to the debate on the relevance of the Phillips curve in South Africa, where … previous findings have been inconclusive. Our analysis reveals that long-run inflation expectations are the primary driver of … inflation, with these expectations anchored around 5% historically but declining since the financial crisis. This trend suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314767
A growing body of empirical evidence shows that there exists a long-run positive tradeoff between inflation and real … between inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273150
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ``frictional growth,'' describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation, and … permanent nominal rigidities, and no departure from rational expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106327
This brief examines two issues of current interest concerning inflation: (1) whether "well-anchored" expectations will … help to restrain inflation's decline and whether an "un-anchoring" of expectations could lead to undesirably high inflation … and (2) to what extent output (or utilization) gaps are useful components of empirical models of inflation and, if they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141451
Analysis Network (PRISMA) for inflation dynamics and monetary policy, relying on calibrated models and direct empirical …. Empirical estimates of the Phillips curve during the low-inflation period confirm previous findings of a relatively flat but … setting, changes in trend inflation above 5-6% would have significant effects on the euro area Phillips curve. Similarly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353271
Standard sticky information pricing models successfully capture the sluggish movement of aggregate prices in response to monetary policy shocks but fail at matching the magnitude and frequency of price changes at the micro level. This paper shows that in a setting where firms choose when to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010423806
We combine an estimated monetary policy rule featuring time-varying trend inflation and stochastic coefficients with a … medium scale New Keynesian framework calibrated on the U.S. economy. We find the impact of variations in trend inflation on … counterfactual exercises suggest that the change in the Federal Reserve's policy response to inflation is likely to have been the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343856
This paper looks at the implications of heterogeneous beliefs for inflation dynamics. Following a monetary policy shock …, inflation peaks after output, is inertial, and can be characterized by a Hybrid Phillips Curve. It presents a novel channel … through which systematic monetary policy can affect the degree of inflation persistence. It does so by altering the effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230345