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This article studies inventories and monetary policy by estimating VAR models. The complex roots detected in our … production and inventories follow damped oscillations (stable sine curves), implying that a boom is the seed of the following … inventories, while booms after positive supply shocks are short-lived as the initial accumulation of inventories suppresses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746671
This paper studies regime dependence in macroeconomic dynamics in the U.S. using a threshold vector autoregressive model in which endogenous regime switches are triggered by the inflation rate. The model separates a high from a low inflation regime with both regimes being strongly persistent....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950614
We develop a structural vector autoregressive framework that combines external instruments and heteroskedasticity for identification of monetary policy shocks. We show that exploiting both types of information sharpens structural inference, allows testing the relevance and exogeneity condition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536939
This paper estimates monetary policy shocks for Sweden between 1996-2019. I employ the Romer and Romer (2004) (R&R) approach and use annual forecasts of output growth and inflation to estimate monetary policy shocks. I complement the analysis with shocks from a recursive VAR including output,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014318981
We develop a structural vector autoregressive framework that combines external instruments and heteroskedasticity for identification of monetary policy shocks. We show that exploiting both types of information sharpens structural inference, allows testing the relevance and exogeneity condition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544631
This paper empirically assesses the pros and cons that emanates when the discretionary monetary policy maker aims to achieve the dual objectives of inflation and output. In order to facilitate theoretically plausible empirical analysis a typical case of a discretionary monetary policy s of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081394
Is the United States best served by a single currency? This question is explored in this paper by looking at the regional effects of U.S. monetary policy shocks through the perspective of the Optimal Currency Area framework. Using monthly state-level data for the period 1983:1 to 2008:3, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157740
This paper studies the spillover effects of the ECB's monetary policies on non-euro area countries over the period 2004-2016, using a GVAR methodology, applied to a large sample of countries and an ample set of variables. Monetary policies are proxied by short-term interest rates and the Wu and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865371
This paper reconsiders the narratives surrounding Japan's economic performance since the 1980s in relation to the experiences of the U.S. and the Eurozone. There are important differences between these three economies and some striking parallels. It is found that the poor reputation of the Bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816140
The empirical literature on central banking has found measures of central bank independence/conservatism to be negatively correlated with inflation and inflation variance across countries. But the cross-country approach has been criticised for its focus on policy outcomes instead of policies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320935