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debt from resulting in a high tax burden, a government default, or inflation. The second objective is to show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309513
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of … determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the present value of surpluses drives unexpected inflation. I use … fiscal theory to interpret historical episodes, including the rise and fall of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361983
This paper examines the implications of different monetary and fiscal policy rules in an economy characterized by Harrodian instability. We show that (i) a monetary rule along Taylor lines can be stabilizing for low debt ratios but becomes de-stabilizing if the debt ratio exceeds a certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522169
, effective revenue ceilings induce an increase in deficit, debt and inflation. Under many scenarios, including recurrent adverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137093
Low and stable inflation requires an appropriate fiscal framework aimed at stabilizing government debt. Historically …, trend inflation is critically influenced by actual or perceived changes to this framework, while cost-push shocks only … account for short-lasting movements in inflation. Before the pandemic, a moderate level of fiscal inflation has counteracted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013357155
In light of persistent in ation dispersion and rising debt levels in the EMU, this paper investigates the welfare implications of budget-neutral scal policies that counteract in ation di erentials. In a two-country DSGE model of a monetary union with traded and non-traded goods a national scal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437921
We provide a systematic analysis of fiscal consolidation in a medium-scale dynamic general equilibrium model. Our results show that the choice of the consolidation instrument is very important, not only with respect to the short- and long-run output effects of the different consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416675
The paper explores the macroeconomic consequences of fiscal consolidations whose timing and composition - either tax- or spending-based - are uncertain. We find that the composition of the fiscal consolidation, its duration, the monetary policy stance, the level of government debt, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781108
inflation designed to achieve a fiscal consolidation. In contrast with empirical contributions that emphasize the benefits of … expenditure based consolidations, the optimal policy calls for increases in taxes and inflation. Strong monetary accommodation is … quite beneficial relative to a situation where the Central Bank is only concerned with inflation stability and the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966478
inflation could even liquidate German debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090225