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This paper argues that the implications of globalization for monetary policy come mainly through two channels: On the one hand, the many structural changes that are associated with the globalization process cause an increase in the uncertainty surrounding monetary policy. This includes an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769098
We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for … forecasting and monetary policy analysis in low-income countries and apply it to Kenya. We use the model to run several policy …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242400
Inflation targeting (IT) is a relatively new monetary policy framework for low-income countries (LICs). The limited … this gap. It finds that inflation targeting appears to be associated with lower inflation and inflation volatility. At the …, where building credibility of monetary policy is difficult and minimizing output costs of reducing inflation is imperative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370563
for establishing the other building blocks of an inflation targeting framework. It argues that strengthening the … effectiveness of the current monetary policy framework will facilitate the adoption of inflation targeting over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528707
effectiveness of the Central Bank of Congo in controlling inflation, despite a rapid policy response to inflation shocks. Options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790264
This paper surveys the evidence on the effectiveness of monetary transmission in low-income countries. It is hard to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790377
low long-run inflation objective, operational independence for the People's Bank of China (PBC) with formal strategic … interest rate fluctuations). We argue that anchoring monetary policy with an explicit inflation objective would be the most … reliable way for the PBC to tie down inflation expectations, and thereby enable monetary policy to make the best contribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826023
sensible forecasting properties. After developing a benchmark model without financial-real linkages, we introduce such linkages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263685
This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264080
produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties. We show how the model can be used to construct efficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825847