In this paper, we examine the spillover effect of US monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) on China's real economic activities, and study the international transmission mechanisms of MPU shock from the view of financial integration, on both aggregate and firm level. Based on the macro level...

This paper examines the effects of monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) on China's banks' credit risks and China's macroeconomic fluctuations. By incorporating the stochastic volatility into the quantity-based monetary policy rule, we provide a specific measure for China's MPU through Bayesian MCMC...

Forward guidance consists of communicating to the public the stance of monetary policy that is expected to prevail in the future.

The Federal Reserve is just one of several central banks that have adopted forward guidance since the beginning of the financial crisis and in an environment of near-zero policy rates (zero lower bound).

This paper develops and estimates the quantity based Markov-switching(MS) monetary policy rule for China. The MS regression results show that China's monetary policy rule does exist regime changes, and the best fit is with a version that allows time variation both in disturbance variance and...

This paper identifies exogenous monetary policy shocks based on the high frequency transaction data of China's interest rate swap market, and explores the ‘signaling channel’ of monetary policy by investigating the transmission of different monetary policy instruments on economic activities...

This paper identifies exogenous monetary policy shocks based on the high frequency transaction data of China’s interest rate swap market, and explores the ‘signaling channel’ of monetary policy by investigating the transmission of different monetary policy instruments on economic...