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We estimate a New Keynesian general-equilibrium open economy model to examine how changes in oil prices affect the macroeconomy. Our model allows oil price changes to be transmitted through temporary demand and supply channels (affecting the output gap), as well as through persistent supply side...
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long-run interest rates and inflation expectations into account. We find a strong connection between oil prices and long … strong relationship if inflation and oil prices were driven by monetary policy. The observed magnitude of this relationship … identify oil shocks. -- Oil shocks ; interest rates ; inflation …
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