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Persistent unemployment after recessions and the policies required to bring it down are the subject of an ongoing debate. One view suggests there are fundamental changes in the labor market that imply a long-term higher rate of unemployment, requiring the implementation of structural policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011413609
Since a series of crisis events after 2007, the discussion about the adjustment channels of current account imbalances has been revived. We discuss the effectiveness of exchange rates versus macroeconomic policies to rebalance current accounts for a set of 86 mainly emerging market economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010431297
This paper deals with a wide scope of issues, starting with the post-crisis recovery of Russia's financial market. The author analyzes the market for shares issued by Russian companies, investigates dependence on the global conjuncture of prices and inflow and outflow of foreign portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012787
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The evidence on the inflation impact of aging is mixed, and there is no evidence regarding the volatility of inflation …. Based on advanced economies' data and a DSGE-OLG model, we find that aging leads to downward pressure on inflation and … higher inflation volatility. Our paper is also the first, using this framework, to discuss how aging affects the transmission …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103744
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This paper employs an aggregate representation of an overlapping generation (OLG) model quantifying a decrease of the natural real interest rate in the range of -1.7 and -0.4 percentage points in the euro area between 1990 and 2030 due to demographics alone. Two channels contribute to this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994650
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We provide a quantitative theory of deflation and secular stagnation. In our lifecycle framework, an aging population …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382196