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When the U.S. economy sneezes, do emerging markets catch a cold? We show that economic news, and not just monetary policy, in the United States affects financial conditions in emerging markets. News about U.S. employment has the strongest effects, followed by news about economic activity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350292
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to start raising policy interest rates in the near term and thus commence a tightening cycle for the first time in nearly a decade. The taper tantrum episode of May-June 2013 is a reminder that even a long anticipated change in Fed policies can trigger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389408
Global liquidity has become a key focus of international policy debates, yet the term continues to be used in a variety of ways. This lack of precision can lead to potentially undesirable policy responses. In this feature, we attempt to clarify the concept of global liquidity, its measurement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092011
The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity markets worldwide, we find that returns fall on average around 3.8% in response to a 100 basis point tightening of US monetary policy, ranging from a zero response in some to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317648
Blockchain technology has opened up the possibility of digital currency, smart contracts and much more applications including the launch of central bank digital currencies (CBDC). However, literature about the effect of CBDC with the presence of cryptocurrency for an emerging market economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239122
By studying the cross-country incidence of the 2008–2009 global financial crisis, we document a structural break in the way emerging economies responded to the global shock. Contrary to popular perceptions, emerging economies suffered growth collapses (relative to the pre-crisis levels)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603324
This paper presents the novel results from an internationally coordinated project by the International Banking Research Network (IBRN) on the cross-border transmission of conventional and unconventional monetary policy through banks. Teams from seventeen countries use confidential micro-banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877813
the extent to which external financial conditions complicate the conduct of monetary policy, we isolate a "contagion … contagion measure is designed to more accurately capture spillovers driven by exogenous global shifts in risk preference or …. In particular, emerging market economies appear to be much less susceptible to global contagion than advanced economies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014247
We study how low interest rates in the United States affect risk taking in the market for cross-border corporate loans. Because banks tend to originate these loans with intent to sell to nonbank investors, we examine risk taking by the broad financial system. To the extent that actions of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011629893
We study the effects of short- and longer-term U.S. interest rates on risk taking in the global market for U.S. dollar syndicated term loans. Because banks tend to originate these loans with intent to sell to non-bank investors, we examine risk taking by the broad financial system. To the extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899125