This paper analyzes the dramatic rise in U.S. inflation since 2020, which we decompose into a rise in core inflation as measured by the weighted median inflation rate and deviations of headline inflation from core. We explain the rise in core with two factors, the tightening of the labor market...

The Taylor Review should be commended for recognising the success of the UK’s flexible labour market and for refusing to endorse the outright bans on zero-hours contracts and app-based “gig” economy advocated by the Labour Party, trade unions, and other pressure groups. However, its...

In May 2016 the Governing Council adopted the AnaCredit Regulation (ECB/2016/13) providing the legal basis for the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) to collect granular information on loans from banks to corporates and other legal persons based on a core set of harmonised concepts and...

This article discusses a small scale pilot to harmonise three Bank of England statistical and regulatory data forms. The primary purpose of the pilot was to assess opportunities for improved operational efficiency in regulatory reporting. The broader purpose was to demonstrate how common data...

A number of central banks publish their own business conditions survey based on non-random sampling methods. The results of these surveys influence monetary policy decisions and thus affect expectations in financial markets. To date, however, no one has computed the statistical accuracy of these...

We propose a new measure of macroeconomic disagreement, using dispersions of forecasts of a wide range of financial, activity and inflation variables from both household and professional surveys at various frequencies. With a mixed-frequency state-space model, we construct macroeconomic...

In this paper we investigate the effect of standard and non-standard monetary policy implemented by the ECB on income inequality in Italy. We use for the first time the survey microdata on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC, Istat) in a repeated cross-section experiment to build measures of...

We combine both a mathematical analysis of financial bubbles and a statistical procedure for determining when a given stock is in a bubble, with an analysis of a large data set, in order to compute the empirical distribution of the lifetime of financial bubbles. We find that it follows a...

The period under review (between 31 August 2015 and 25 September 2015) saw moderate downtrend for all of the Russian major stock market indicators: the MICEX Index dropped 5.4%, including all sector indices except the Mechanical Engineering Index, and all blue chips showed downside dynamics....

The MICEX Index in August showed a growth of more than 7% with an average of 1677 index points regardless of the fact that crude oil prices saw a downside trend. All of the Industry Indices were growing, of which the Chemical and Petrochemical Index advanced higher than others (17.2%)....