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as nonparametric and semiparametric models in forecasting the nominal interest rate setting that describes the South … results indicate that the semiparametric models perform particularly well relative to the Taylor rule models currently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008513007
Over the last three decades, Mexico’s macroeconomic policy has been driven by a sound orthodox strategy: an open economy via many trade agreements signed since the mid-1980s, a nominal exchange rate under a flexible regime since 1994, central bank autonomy, and responsible fiscal policy, among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927050
The persistence property of inflation is an important issue for not only economists, but, especially for central banks, given that the degree of inflation persistence determines the extent to which central banks can control inflation. Further, not only is the level of inflation persistence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045937
rolling-window fractional integration setting using the semiparametric estimator suggested by Phillips (2007). Second, we use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972821
Characteristics of inflation play a key role in policy formulation and market analysis. Several studies have analyzed inflation persistence and reached diverging conclusions. In this paper we investigate the dynamics of inflation persistence using fractionally integrated processes and find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776993
This paper analyses the degree of inflation persistence in the EU15, the euro area and each of its member states using disaggregate price indices from the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices. Our results reveal substantial heterogeneity across countries and indices. The overall results, based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318917
We investigate the empirics of the persistence in the inflation series for 13 OECD countries that use an inflation targeting regime. We estimate persistence in the pre- and post-targeting periods using the fractional integration framework suggested by Kim and Phillips (2006, 2000) and Phillips...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014149193
This thesis first presents India’s economy and financial system’s recent history and current issues. Then, with an emphasis on the recent turmoil period, it studies the question of financial integration in various markets: equity markets are dealt with in the 1st chapter, CDS spreads are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212049
This paper investigates the joint dynamics of nominal bond yields, real bond yields and dividend yields from the 80s up to the aftermath of the financial crisis by mapping them on a set of macro factors. It builds on an existing discrete time affine Gaussian model of the term structure model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636269
We empirically investigate the short-run impact of anticipated and unanticipated unemployment rates on stock prices. We particularly examine the nonlinearity in stock market’s reaction to unemployment rate and study the effect at each individual point (quantile) of stock return distribution....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547884