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We argue that the present crisis and stalling economy continuing since 2007 have clear origins, namely in the delusionary belief in the merits of policies based on a “perpetual money machine” type of thinking. Indeed, we document strong evidence that, since the early 1980s, consumption has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684129
Global potential output growth has been flagging. At 2.5 percent in 2013-17, post-crisis potential growth is 0.5 percentage point below its longer-term average and 0.9 percentage point below its average a decade ago. Compared with a decade ago, potential growth has declined 0.8 percentage point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839370
This paper surveys the economic literature on the scaling-up of aid to Africa. It provides a checklist of issues that need to be considered when preparing a long term macroeconomic projection for a country involving the assumption of a significant increase in aid. Such scaling-up scenarios are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012780736
This study examines the impact of fiscal, monetary and trade policies on Nigerian economic growth from 1985 to 2020. This study adopts endogenous growth model (AK model) as its theoretical framework. The unit root test results reveal that there is mixed level of stationarity in the variables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668349
country-specific structural vector autoregression (VAR) models by combining estimated damages of disaster events with monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671834
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382749
effects on the macroeconomy. Research on disaster risks has also actively been pursued in the macroeconomic models of climate … change. Our paper uses insights from the former work to study disaster risks in the macroeconomics of climate change and to … spell out policy needs. Empirically, the link between carbon dioxide emission and the frequency of climate related disaster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265443
Central banks and financial supervisors approach "green finance" mostly to preserve macroeconomic and financial stability according to their mandates. Obviously, climate change poses severe risks to households, firms and their financial intermediaries. These risks tend to be correlated and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154795
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013287811
We investigate the macroeconomic effects of government spending shocks in Korea. We compare results obtained with two alternative approaches: the narrative approach and Structural Vector-Autoregressive model (SVAR). We propose a new methodology for identifying exogenous and unexpected fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100013