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The paper investigates the effect of monetary policy uncertainty on stock return volatility. Contrary to the widely … accepted wisdom that higher uncertainty leads to higher volatility, we find that monetary policy uncertainty negatively … predicts stock return volatility both in and out of sample at the monthly frequency. The forecasting performance is robust even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492045
Whether a central bank should share with the public its views about the future evolution of short term interest rates is an unresolved issue. Disclosing this information might allow a more precise control of market expectations and a more effective achievement of the ultimate goals of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149808
In this paper we study how volatility in monetary policy affects economic performance in the presence of endogenously … would be efficient. The equilibria that we find, with volatility and asymmetry of information, are inefficient for two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230773
With many emerging market currencies tied to the U.S. dollar either implicitly or explicitly, movements in the exchange values of the currencies of major countries have the potential to influence the competitive position of many developing countries. According to some analysts, establishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230967
The paper investigates the effect of monetary policy uncertainty on stock market volatility. Higher monetary … uncertainty leads to lower stock market volatility both in sample and out of sample. Monetary policy uncertainty matters more for … the volatility of big firms, profitable firms and past winner firms. The channel of future cash flow volatility helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307935
-frequency identified monetary policy shocks with these measures of idiosyncratic shock volatility. We document a novel fact: monetary … policy has dampened real effects via the investment channel when firm-level TFP shock volatility is high. Our estimates for … dampening effects of volatility are statistically and economically significant - moving from the tenth to the ninetieth …
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