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cycles; demand shocks explain much of the GDP growth dynamics (persistent positive contributions before the crisis and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392289
Extending and modifying the canonical New Keynesian (NK) model, this study provides a novel approach to examine the impact of anticipated shocks called "news shocks" on business cycles. The analysis shows that news shocks are less stressful for an economy than commonly assumed. The main results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373568
increase in expenditure-to- GDP ratios was apparently determined by the adverse non-policy shocks that caused the recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434680
cannot detect any substantial aggregate effect of austerity measures. Finally, the post-2007 surge in expenditure-to-GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529025
The outcome of the referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union in June 2016 was largely unanticipated by politicians and pundits alike. Even after the "Leave" vote, the uncertainty surrounding the withdrawal process might have affected the UK economy. We draw on an official list of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194430
The study examines the role of global predictors on national monetary policy formation for Kenya and Ghana within the New Keynesian DSGE framework. We developed and automatically calibrated our DSGE model using the Bayesian estimator, which made our model robust to rigorous stochastic number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012107801
.S. economy. This shock acts like a demand shock: it induces strong positive comovement in real quantities - GDP, consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930326
This paper analyzes conditions for determinacy in a new Keynesian model with endogenous growth. Endogenous growth shrinks the determinacy region considerably. Complying with the Taylor principle is not sufficient for determinacy, which decreases in the spillovers from actual on potential output....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764637
We assess the impact of macroprudential measures on macroeconomic stability using a DSGE model in which firms can access both direct and indirect financing. The model is calibrated with data from the euro area. We compare two different macroprudential rules (time-invariant and counter-cyclical)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631259
This paper discusses various concepts of unemployment rate benchmarks that are frequently used by policymakers for assessing the current state of the economy as it relates to the pursuit of both price stability and maximum employment. In particular, we propose two broad categories of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389411