We argue that societies sometimes choose not to enforce the law to gain “flexibility”. Especially developing countries face a dilemma between discretion and commitment to only partially-contingent rules. Rules are good for incentives, but discretion may be more “flexible”. We embed this...

Using a structural factor-augmented VAR and a large novel database of daily time series, we examine the impact of unconventional monetary policy on financial and economic uncertainty. Our findings indicate that expansionary unconventional monetary shocks lead to large reductions in uncertainty...

Purpose – This paper empirically analyzed how China’s domestic inflation responds to foreign uncertainties, especially U.S. economic policy uncertainties. This paper helps to fill the gap in the research on the impact of one country’s economic uncertainty on the others...

We find that macroeconomic uncertainty plays a significant role in U.S. monetary policy. First, we construct a measure of uncertainty as felt by policymakers at the time of making their rate-setting decisions. This measure is derived from a real-time, Bayesian estimation of a small monetary VAR...

The unprecedented 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks in the United States caused massive casualties and damage, and ushered in an era of greater uncertainty. While a prompt and vigorous policy response helped limit the immediate economic impact of the aggression, the heightened terrorist threat...

We find that macroeconomic uncertainty plays a significant role in U.S. monetary policy. First, we construct a measure of uncertainty as felt by policymakers at the time of making their rate-setting decisions. This measure is derived from a real-time, Bayesian estimation of a small monetary VAR...

We propose an empirical evaluation of the transmission of the Federal reserve policy announcements to the equity price indices of three countries: Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia. The results of panel data tests allow us to highlight a significant negative impact of three of the 19 monetary policy...

Investigates the macroeconomic challenges for low-income countries created by a surge in aid inflows. It develops an analytical framework for examining possible policy responses to increased aid, and then applies this framework to the experience of five relatively well-governed countries that...

Over the next decade, African countries are expected to be the largest beneficiaries of increased donor aid, which is intended to improve their prospects for achieving the Millennium Development Goals. This handbook will help these countries assess the macroeconomic implications of increased aid...