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In this paper, we undertake empirical analysis to understand U.S. wage behavior since thebeginning of the new millennium. At the macroeconomic level, we find that aproductivity-augmented Phillips curve model explains the data fairly well. The modelreveals that the upward pressure on wage growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913885
We examine the impact of large-scale asset purchases of government bonds on real GDP and the CPI in the United Kingdom and the United States with a Bayesian VAR, estimated on monthly data from 2009 M3 to 2013 M5. We identify an asset purchase shock with sign and zero restrictions. In contrast to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403096
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The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a major global health crisis, the onset of which, and containment policies for, have also led to a global economic crisis. The effects of the pandemic on the economies of various countries depended on their position in the international economic hierarchy, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013283745
In studies concluding that public debt may hamper GDP, the debt tipping effects are estimated as if there were a single world currency. This means that such studies ignore the likely biggest cause of changes in growth rates, namely damage from exchange rate liquidity shocks because we do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748247
We study the interplay between monetary policy and financial conditions shocks. Such shocks have a significant and similar impact on the real economy, though with different degrees of persistence. The systematic fed funds rate response to a financial shock contributes to bringing the economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546928
There is an important interdependence between economic, financial and health policy actions. The recent Covid-19 crisis has demonstrated that, apart from the direct economic consequences from illness and death from the virus, the main economic and financial costs have been due to the varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012286510
Amid the COVID-19 outbreak and related expected economic downturn, many developed and emerging market central banks around the world engaged in new long-term asset purchase programs, or so-called quantitative easing (QE) interventions. This paper conducts an event-study analysis of 24 COVID-19...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833352
The COVID-19 pandemic is a major shock to the American economy. Indeed, we are already seeing signs that the United States will experience a severe recession. Market indicators suggest that a weak economy may persist well beyond the actual pandemic, especially if policy responses are poorly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835038