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Modeling persistent interest rates with volatility-induced stationarity
Hansen, Anne Lundgaard - 2019
volatilityinduced stationarity. Our model employs a leveldependent conditional volatility that maintains stationarity despite the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111254
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Quantitative easing and exuberance in government bond markets : evidence from the ECB's Expanded Assets Purchase Program
Droes, Martijn; Lamoen, Ryan C. R. van; Mattheussens, Simona - 2017 - This version: 25 August 2017
This paper examines whether the ECB's Quantitative Easing (QE) policy is causing government bond prices to deviate from their fundamental value. We use a recent advance in the methodology to measure exuberant price behavior in financial time series introduced by Phillips et al. (2015). We extend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715916
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A dynamic yield curve model with stochastic volatility and non-Gaussian interactions : an empirical study of non-standard monetary policy in the euro area
Mesters, Geert; Schwaab, Bernd; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2014
model to be extended with stochastic volatility and heavy tailed disturbances. We develop a flexible estimation method for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362975
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Towards a Joint Characterization of Monetary Policy and the Dynamics of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Fendel, Ralf - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991346
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What option prices tell us about the ECB's unconventional monetary policies
Olijslagers, Stan; Petersen, Annelie; Vette, Nander de; … - 2018
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034
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The response of stock market volatility to futures-based measures of monetary policy shocks
Gospodinov, Nikolaj; Jamali, Ibrahim - 2014
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
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The Response of Stock Market Volatility to Futures-Based Measures of Monetary Policy Shocks
Gospodinov, Nikolay - 2015
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026088
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Unconventional monetary policy and bond market connectedness in the new normal
Akovalı, Umut; Yılmaz, Kamil - 2021
Since the global financial crisis, major central banks gradually switched to unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) as part of their efforts to directly influence the long-term interest rates. This study analyzes the impact of conventional/unconventional monetary policies on sovereign bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495030
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Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality
Brand, Claus; Goy, Gavin; Lemke, Wolfgang - 2021
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
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Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality
Brand, Claus; Goy, Gavin; Lemke, Wolfgang - 2020
Incorporating arbitrage-free term-structure dynamics into a semi-structural macro-model, we jointly estimate the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation, and term premia for the United States and the euro area, using a Bayesian approach. The natural real rate and trend inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425011