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In this paper, we perform an in - depth investigation of relative merits of two adaptive learning algorithms with constant gain, Recursive Least Squares (RLS) and Stochastic Gradient (SG), using the Phelps model of monetary policy as a testing ground. The behavior of the two learning algorithms...
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. Compared to the Gaussian affine term structure model, we improve out-of-sample forecasting of the yield curve. …
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