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expenditure side, private consumption and investment have also stabilized considerably. Most of the decline in aggregate growth … conditions, characterized by higher and more stable real per-capita growth rates, and lower and more stable inflation. This paper … reduction in growth volatility, of more than 50%, in the agricultural sector, and a gradual stabilization in services. On the …
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We argue that secular change in both the production and composition of investment goods has weakened private investment … the production of investment goods amplify the response of consumption to monetary policy shocks by varying labor income … investment goods production has declined, (ii) the import share of investment goods has risen, and (iii) the composition of …
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Recent studies document the deteriorating performance of forecasting models during the Great Moderation, which conversely implies that forecastability was higher in the preceding era when the economy was unexpectedly volatile. We explain this phenomenon in the context of equilibrium...
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unclear. One candidate is intangible capital - a rising driver of economic growth that, being non-pledgeable as collateral, is … vulnerable to financial frictions. By sheltering intangible investment from financial shocks, counter-cyclical macroeconomic … policy could strengthen longer-term growth, particularly so where strong product market competition prevents firms from self …
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