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US federal transfers to individuals are large, countercyclical, vary geographically, and are often credited for helping stabilize regional economies. This paper estimates the short-run effects of these transfers using plausibly exogenous regional variation in temporary stimulus packages and...
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holds for the microeconomic response of some of the most important economic variables, such as investment, labor demand, and … actual response to shocks is less than half as fast as the estimated response. For investment, labor demand and prices, the …, even after aggregating investment across all establishments in U.S. manufacturing, the estimate of its speed of adjustment …
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In this paper, we analyze the determinants of speeches by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials over the period January 1998 to September 2009. Econometrically, we use a probit model with regional and national macroeconomic variables to explain the subjectively coded content of these speeches. Our...
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