output and inflation, as observed in a vectorautoregression analysis. In contrast to backward indexation to past inflation …, which is often assumed in the literature, sticky information leads to a hump-shaped response in the inflation of flexibly …

Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …

In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …

This paper focuses on modeling and forecasting inflation in India using an augmented Phillips curve framework. Both … demand and supply factors are seen as drivers of inflation. Demand conditions are found to have a stronger impact on non …-food manufactured products (NFMP) inflation vis-a-vis headline wholesale price inflation; moreover, NFMP inflation is found to be more …

Since the early 1980s, the United States economy has changed in some important ways: Inflation now rises considerably … less when unemployment falls and the volatility of output and inflation have fallen sharply. This paper examines whether … volatility of monetary policy reaction functions can account for most or all of the change in the inflation …

A vast literature has documented how US inflation persistence has fallen in recent decades, but this finding is … difficult to explain in monetary models. Using survey data on inflation expectations, I document a positive co-movement between … that inflation is more persistent in periods of greater forecast sluggishness. My results suggest that changes in firm …

The recently observed disconnect between inflation and economic activity can be explained by the interplay between the … offset the effect of lower factor costs and induce only moderate inflation responses. The Phillips curve is hence flat at the …

This paper estimates a New Keynesian model with trend inflation and contrasts Taylor rules featuring fixed versus time …-varying inflation target while allowing for passive monetary policy. The estimation is conducted over the Great Inflation and the Great … Moderation periods. Time-varying inflation target empirically fits better and active monetary policy prevails in both periods …

The business cycle is alive and well, and real variables respond to it more or less as they always did. Witness the … an estimated DSGE model. It finds that the disconnect is due primarily to the muted reaction of inflation to cost … inflation stabilization also appears to have played some role by reducing the impact of demand shocks on the real economy. The …