Showing 1 - 10 of 749
substantially. We document this fact by comparing an easy-to-grasp expectations-based policy, unconventional fiscal policy, with a … consumption via managing inflation expectations based on the Euler equation. Unconventional fiscal policy uses trivial … announcements of future consumer-price increases to boost inflation expectations and consumption expenditure on impact. Instead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290
unconventional policies that aim to increase households' spending directly through managing their expectations. We first show … theoretically and empirically that higher in ation expectations increase households' consumption. We then design a difference … demand via managing expectations. Whereas unconventional fiscal policy increases households' expectations and spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012490917
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191431
This paper studies how people make inference about a state of the world when the information structure includes additional, payoff-irrelevant states. For example, learning about effort from observed performance may require accounting for the otherwise irrelevant role of luck. This creates an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827647
In this joint Bank of England and Behavioural Insights Team study, we test the effectiveness of different approaches to central bank communications. Using an online experiment with a representative sample of the UK population, we measure how changes to the Bank of England's summaries of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898469
This paper replicates the main analysis of Svensson (2015) with some expansion to the original analysis, mainly for the United States. Overall, the replication exercise successfully confirms the conclusions of Svensson (2015). In both Sweden and the United States, empirical evidence sup- ports...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179358
inferences under rational expectations, whereas the fraction of backward looking price setters increases. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573204
inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct … identification of these biases. Both inflation and deflationary biases are present (and sizable) in inflation expectations of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317310
Previous literature has shown that, in a New Keynesian model, an expectations based policy rule induces E-stability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263396
We study the behavior of U.S. consumers' inflation expectations during the high inflation period of 2021-22 using data … from the Survey of Consumer Expectations. Short- and, to a lesser extent, mediumterm inflation expectations rose as … inflation continued to climb, medium- and longerterm inflation expectations unexpectedly fell and medium- and longer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013441601