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This paper employs an aggregate representation of an overlapping generation (OLG) model quantifying a decrease of the natural real interest rate in the range of -1.7 and -0.4 percentage points in the euro area between 1990 and 2030 due to demographics alone. Two channels contribute to this...
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The evidence on the inflation impact of aging is mixed, and there is no evidence regarding the volatility of inflation …. Based on advanced economies' data and a DSGE-OLG model, we find that aging leads to downward pressure on inflation and … higher inflation volatility. Our paper is also the first, using this framework, to discuss how aging affects the transmission …
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We provide a quantitative theory of deflation and secular stagnation. In our lifecycle framework, an aging population …
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