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In this paper we use U.S. real-time vintage data and produce combined density nowcasts for quarterly GDP growth from a … of the predictive densities for U.S. GDP increase almost monotonically as new information arrives during the quarter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009366339
In this paper we use U.S. real-time vintage data and produce combined density nowcasts for quarterly GDP growth from a … of the predictive densities for U.S. GDP increase almost monotonically as new information arrives during the quarter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551362
from the stable components in GDP growth and inflation, which share similar patterns to the neutral rate of interest (R … learning from the transitory components in GDP growth and inflation. The less-frequent inverted yield curves observed after the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201422
Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal yield curves. We develop a model that can generate upward-sloping nominal and real yield curves by instead using ambiguity about inflation and growth. Ambiguity can help resolve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864574
subjective expectations of dividend and gross domestic product (GDP) growth. Yields on short-term dividend claims are more … stronger correlation between expectations of real GDP growth and real dividend growth and only partially to procyclical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193433
The macro risk premium measures the threshold return for real activity that receives funding from savers. We base our argument in this paper on the relationship between the macro risk premium and the growth of financial intermediaries' balance sheets. The spare capacity of their balance sheets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287103
In order to understand the sources of profits or monetary profits of capitalists and firms, the author examines the phrase of Marx: 'Die Gesamtklasse der Kapitalisten kann nichts aus der Zirkulation herausziehen, was nicht vorher hineingeworfen war.' (The class of capitalists cannot extract from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259975
In order to understand from where the profits or monetary profits of capitalists and firms emerge the author examined the phrase of Marx, 'Die Gesamtklasse der Kapitalisten kann nichts aus der Zirkulation herausziehen, was nicht vorher hineingeworfen war.' (The class of capitalists cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230896
This paper explores financial stability policies for the shadow banking system. I tie policy options to economic mechanisms for shadow banking that have been documented in the literature. I then illustrate the role of shadow bank policies using three examples: agency mortgage real estate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010247355
This paper explores financial stability policies for the shadow banking system. I tie policy options to economic mechanisms for shadow banking that have been documented in the literature. I then illustrate the role of shadow bank policies using three examples: agency mortgage real estate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058847