Castelnuovo, Efrem; Mori, Lorenzo; Peersman, Gert - 2024
commodities, and industrial input price shocks. We show that commodities are not all alike. Industrial input price changes are … almost entirely endogenous responses to other shocks. Exogenous oil and food price shocks are relevant drivers of global real … and financial cycles, with food price shocks exerting the greatest influence. We then conduct counterfactual estimations …