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commodities, and industrial input price shocks. We show that commodities are not all alike. Industrial input price changes are … almost entirely endogenous responses to other shocks. Exogenous oil and food price shocks are relevant drivers of global real … and financial cycles, with food price shocks exerting the greatest influence. We then conduct counterfactual estimations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014550949
Commodity price volatility can create concern for central bank policy-makers. Recent commodity prices peaked in the … connected in a cause and effect relationship with inflation and real output, the driving forces behind commodity price … series to identify volatility spillovers between monetary policies and commodity price index. The findings show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945975
We analyze the impact of the ECB monetary policies on global aggregate and sectoral commodity prices using monthly data from January 2001 till August 2019. We employ a SVAR model and assess separately period of conventional monetary policy before global financial crisis (GFC) and unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200289
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR) model. We report three main results. First, the decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584054
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This study examines the dynamic effects of the oil price (OP) shocks on the key macroeconomic variables of Pakistan. A …, the long-term interest rate and the inflation rate (INF) rise as a result of a positive OP shock. The unanticipated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928104
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384613
We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207060